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That Was The Week, #38
The Chinese economy is the world's largest measured by Producer Price Parity (PPP). Its lead over the USA is accelerating.
PPP is approximately comparing the buying power of the national GDP, allowing apples to apples comparisons between nations.
Even if we use the constant $ method the findings are clear.
The USA is the largest in absolute dollars. However China is catching up fast. With a rapidly growing middle class and associated purchasing power, China is a growing powerhouse and the USA is an aging, yet still powerful, engine.
In this week's newsletter we feature an article by CNBC, drawing on data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis. It shows that the US recorded a $141.92 billion deficit in goods trade with China in the first half of 2020, whilst only recording an $11.74 billion Services trade surplus during that time. In short, non-good trade is a small fraction of the trade in goods. As a service heavy economy, the US is not in good shape.And worse still, the US services surplus is shrinking whilst the goods deficit is growing.
The larger point here is that the USA is heavily integrated at the global level with China. As China continues to grow, US exporters need access to that opportunity. It makes little or no strategic sense for the US to fight with China. This places the Tik Tok (on again, off again) ban in the correct context. Trump is clearly angry that Tik Tok users fooled him into believing a million tickets had been requested for a rally. His revenge is not in the interests of anybody.
So far the democratic opposition to Trump has not weighed in on their view of China. Let's hope it is more Nixon, embracing of China, than confrontational like Trump.
Talking of politics, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong got in trouble this week by attempting to ban his employees from all political activist agenda's and political discourse while at work. As we can see above, work and politics are closely affiliated. Jack Dorsey and Dick Costolo distanced themselves from the Coinbase CEO's stance whilst Paul Graham approved. That itself was strange because Armstrong is clearly attempting to "cancel" workplace activism and dicussion, and Graham is on the record supporting opponents of 'cancel culture'. Free speech, it seems, is not an absolute principle.
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Top of the Week: ChinAmerica
- 5 charts show how much the U.S. and Chinese economies depend on each other - CNBC
- TikTok was just the beginning: Trump administration is stepping up scrutiny of past Chinese tech investments - The Washington Post
- Court temporarily blocks Trump order banning TikTok from US app stores - The Guardian
Reads of the Week: The Public Markets
- Defiance ETFs Launches the First SPAC ETF - Street Insider
- SPAC Managers to Watch - The Information
- 2020 is the year of the SPAC — yet traditional IPOs offer better returns, report finds - MarketWatch
- IPO market frenzy could be just the beginning - PitchBook News & Analysis
- Why Gross Margins Matter - Two Sigma Ventures
- Surfing the Right S-Curve - The Diff
Startup of the Week: Coinbase
- Coinbase and Y Combinator-backed startup Multis raises $2.2 million in seed round - The Block
- Coinbase CEO discourages politics at work, offers generous severance to employees who want to quit - CNBC
Raise of the Week: Palantir and Asana
- Palantir and Asana: Two Very Different Debuts: The Information’s Tech Briefing
- Wall Street's IPO enemies ready one-two punch - Reuters
- Here’s What You Need To Know About Palantir’s Long-Awaited Direct Listing
- What To Know About Asana, the Productivity App Built By Former Facebookers, As It Goes Public - Crunchbase News
- From The Editor’s Desk: Two Direct Listing Debuts to Watch This Week - Crunchbase news
- IPO Market Parties Like It’s 1999 - Wall Street Journal
Politics and Technology: Facebook, Apple and Being a Monopoly
- Facebook merges Messenger chat service with Instagram - The Guardian
- How Facebook Entrenches Itself - New York Times
- Competition is for Losers - with Peter Thiel (How to Start a Startup 2014: 5)
- Everybody vs. the App Store: Why Companies Are Taking Issue With Apple’s Growing Revenue Engine - Wall Street Journal
- Facebook Opens New Fight With Apple Over Messaging - The Information
Venture: Bubbles and Endowments
- Investment return of 6.8% brings Yale endowment value to $31.2 billion - Yale News
- My First Week Investing at Venrock - Juile Park
- Now is a time of bubble companies, not of market bubbles - Financial Times
Startups: Pitch Decks
- Post-Traction, You Need to Spend 20% of Your Time Recruiting - SaaStr
- The Early Pitch Decks Of 21 Startups Before They Became Billion-Dollar Companies - CB Insights